GOLD HAS ALREADY HIT RECORDS, NOW IT'S COPPER'S TIME
According to the CME Group, demand for copper futures contracts continues to grow steadily, and institutional funds continue to increase their volumes.
As a result, since the beginning of the year, copper has risen by almost 10%, and the price of the CUCUSD contract confidently reached a 14-month high.
Key growth factors include: - Increased demand for the metal due to the transition to "green" energy. Solar or wind power stations, electric vehicles, any form of renewable energy - they all require copper because if you need to electrify something, conduct electricity, you need copper.
- Supply reduction risk. On April 3, Canadian mining company Ivanhoe Mines reported a quarterly production decrease of 6.5% at the Kamoa-Kakula mining complex in the Democratic Republic of Congo. In addition, drought in Zambia threatens the planned expansion of the country's mining industry. This leads to supply shortages and further price increases. Goldman Sachs predicts a copper deficit of over 500,000 tons in 2024.
- Expected reduction in the Fed rate. The rise in CUCUSD increased after statements by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding the key rate. He stated that despite higher-than-expected inflation data, the overall situation remains unchanged and a rate cut will be necessary "at some point this year."
According to CNBC analysts' forecasts,
by 2025, copper prices could rise by more than 75% and reach new historical highs. FreshForex analysts make more modest forecasts but also expect an upward trend in CUCUSD as a more likely scenario, especially in the case of an improvement in the global economy.
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