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This week, the financial news market is buzzing with mixed events. Oil prices continue to fall, while American stocks are delighting investors with unexpected rises.

FreshForex traders have quickly capitalized on these events to make profits. Let's take a closer look at what’s happening and why.


Black gold is getting cheaper

At the beginning of this week, oil prices fell again, causing concern among investors. Market volatility is increasing due to fears about future demand and a possible easing of production restrictions by OPEC+ by the end of the year. Brent crude oil fell below $77 per barrel on Tuesday!

Oil prices declined following decisions made by OPEC+ at their June 2 meeting. The organization announced a gradual lifting of oil production restrictions, affecting market sentiment. Moreover, disappointing figures from the US manufacturing PMI (ISM) also played a role: at the end of May, the index dropped below 50 points to 48.7, indicating a decline in the sector. The rise in borrowing costs, limited investments, and increased raw material costs are challenging American industry.

Experts are divided: Goldman Sachs sees potentially negative consequences for the market from OPEC+'s decision, while UBS and RBC analysts believe that the cartel will manage the market flexibly, gradually easing restrictions.


Rises in the US stock market

Meanwhile, optimism reigns in the US stock market. The price of tech giant Apple (#Apple) exceeded a 5-month high, surprising Wall Street once again. The company’s profits surpassed expectations, causing a buzz among investors that continues to this day.

Microsoft (#Microsoft) shares continue to rise. Microsoft is developing and training its own AI model, MAI-1, which could compete with models from Google, Anthropic, and even OpenAI, according to a Yahoo report. The company's first-quarter revenues were supported by high demand for AI products.

Micron (#Micron) shares are soaring. The company is poised to become one of the largest beneficiaries of AI demand in the chip industry. Micron announced strong quarterly results and an optimistic earnings forecast for the current quarter.

Once again, GameStop Corp (#GameStop) became sensational news. As we mentioned earlier, the company’s shares soared following new content from popular YouTube streamer Keith Gill, known as Roaring Kitty. In a recent Reddit post, Gill shared a screenshot of his investment portfolio, which included a significant holding of GameStop shares and call options. This information sparked another explosive interest in the stock, doubling its price to $47 on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Monday, June 3. We already mentioned GameStop in May, so for our regular readers and active traders, the latest surge was no surprise.

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Specialists at Goldman Sachs Group have revised their year-end forecast for the S&P 500 index (#SP500) upward to 5,600 points. This adjustment is based on the assumption that negative earnings will be below average and that the price-to-earnings ratio is now considered fair.

Yesterday, the S&P 500 reached a new all-time high of 5,488 points! The index has already grown by 15.8% since the beginning of the year, and the upward trend is expected to continue.

We previously discussed the rise of the S&P 500 in April. Our traders closely monitor the market and engage in active trading, so this new surge was not a surprise to them.


The growth of leading American companies strengthens the resilience of the U.S. economy

The stock price of Applied Materials (#AppliedMat) has increased by 56% since the beginning of the year. Applied Materials is an American corporation that provides equipment, services, and software for the production of semiconductor chips used in electronics, flat panel displays, smartphones, televisions, and solar products. The rising demand for electronic chips fuels investor interest in this company.

Motorola Solutions (#Motorola), the successor of one of the oldest U.S. corporations, has transformed into a leading manufacturer of specialized communication devices and holds a monopoly in certain niches. The company's stock has grown by 22.6% since the start of the year. Motorola Solutions focuses on the highly profitable public sector procurement, leading to steady revenue growth for MSI.

Procter & Gamble (#PG) is a global leader in the consumer goods market, well-established in the U.S. and abroad. The stock of this defensive goods group (covering beauty and grooming, healthcare, fabric and home care, and baby, feminine, and family care products) has been growing steadily and reliably. Over the year, their value has increased by 15.6%.

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Oil prices have shown steady growth from $76 to $85 per barrel of Brent crude (#BRENT) since the beginning of June. This rise is driven by seasonal factors: high consumer activity during the summer driving season, increased demand from the transportation sector, and higher electricity consumption for air conditioning.



However, a more significant development in the oil market is the expiration of the 50-year-old Security Agreement between Saudi Arabia and the USA, signed in 1974, and Riyadh's refusal to renew it.

The agreement facilitated economic cooperation and military needs between the two nations, stabilizing the situation after the crises of the 1970s. The US benefited from oil at favorable prices, while Saudi Arabia gained a technological ally and wealth. Crucially, this agreement mandated that Saudi Arabia sell its oil exclusively for dollars, a restriction that no longer applies. This system greatly strengthened the dollar's position as the dominant global reserve currency by creating worldwide demand for dollars directly tied to oil transactions. Many have called this the "deal of the century."

Abandoning the petrodollar system could, in the long run, weaken the dollar's influence and impact US financial markets, reducing Washington's ability to accumulate national debt and profit from exports. Countries like China, Russia, Iran, and India are increasingly settling trades in their national currencies. By 2023, already 20% of global oil was being purchased without using the dollar. Now, Saudi Arabia can sell oil for any currencies or assets, including the yuan, gold, and even cryptocurrencies, which could significantly boost the value of these assets over time.